Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis

Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis PDF
Author: Heuer J Richards
Publisher: CQ Press
ISBN: 1608710181
Size: 67.33 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Mobi
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 343
View: 6222

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Book Description:

Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis

by Heuer J Richards, Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis Book available in PDF, EPUB, Mobi Format. Download Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis books, Richards J. Heuer Jr. and Randolph H. Pherson turn a lifetime of expertise into formalizing, adapting, and standardizing a set of 50 of the most robust analytic techniques in use in intelligence analysis today. This ready reference showcases current and cutting-edge best practices and represents a significant leap forward in depth, detail and utility from existing handbooks. Logically organized and richly illustrated, Structured Analytic Techniques makes it easy to navigate, reference, and put the tools to use right away. Each technique is clearly and systematically explained: when to use, value added, the method, potential pitfalls, examples of how it can be used, its relationship to other techniques, and its origins. THE TECHNIQUES * Getting Started Checklist * Customer Checklist * Issue Redefinition * Chronologies and Timelines * Sorting * Ranking, Scoring, Prioritizing * Matrices * Network Analysis * Mind Maps and Concept Maps * Process Maps and Gantt Charts * Structured Brainstorming * Virtual Brainstorming * Nominal Group Technique * Starbursting * Cross-Impact Matrix * Morphological Analysis * Quadrant Crunching * Basic Scenario Analysis * Alternative Futures Analysis * Multiple Scenario Generation * Indicators * Indicators Validator * Simple Hypothesis * Multiple Hypotheses Generator * Quadrant Hypothesis Generation * Diagnostic Reasoning * Analysis of Competing Hypotheses * Argument Mapping * Deception Detection * Key Assumptions Check * Structured Analogies * Role Playing * Red Hat Analysis * Outside-In Thinking * Policy Outcomes Forecasting Model * Prediction Markets * Premortem Analysis * Structured Self-Critique * What If? Analysis * High Impact/Low Probability Analysis * Devil's Advocacy * Red Team Analysis * Delphi Method * Adversarial Collaboration * Structured Debate * Complexity Manager * Decision Matrix * Force Field Analysis * Pros-Cons-Faults-and-Fixes * SWOT Analysis







Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis

Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis PDF
Author: Randolph H. Pherson
Publisher: CQ Press
ISBN: 1506368921
Size: 80.27 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 384
View: 1364

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Book Description:

Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis

by Randolph H. Pherson, Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis Book available in PDF, EPUB, Mobi Format. Download Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis books, The Third Edition of Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis by Randolph H. Pherson and Richards J. Heuer Jr showcases sixty-six structured analytic techniques—nine new to this edition—that represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis. With more depth, detail, and utility than existing handbooks, each technique is clearly and systematically explained. Logically organized and richly illustrated, and with spiral binding and tabs that separate techniques into categories, this book is an easy-to-use, comprehensive reference.







Cases In Intelligence Analysis

Cases in Intelligence Analysis PDF
Author: Sarah Miller Beebe
Publisher: CQ Press
ISBN: 1483340147
Size: 30.77 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Mobi
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 400
View: 4903

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Book Description:

Cases In Intelligence Analysis

by Sarah Miller Beebe, Cases In Intelligence Analysis Book available in PDF, EPUB, Mobi Format. Download Cases In Intelligence Analysis books, In their Second Edition of Cases in Intelligence Analysis: Structured Analytic Techniques in Action, accomplished instructors and intelligence practitioners Sarah Miller Beebe and Randolph H. Pherson offer robust, class-tested cases studies of events in foreign intelligence, counterintelligence, terrorism, homeland security, law enforcement, and decision-making support. Designed to give analysts-in-training an opportunity to apply structured analytic techniques and tackle real-life problems, each turnkey case delivers a captivating narrative, discussion questions, recommended readings, and a series of engaging analytic exercises.







Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis Cases In Intelligence Analysis 2nd Ed

Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis   Cases in Intelligence Analysis  2nd Ed PDF
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781071829134
Size: 27.78 MB
Format: PDF, Docs
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description:

Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis Cases In Intelligence Analysis 2nd Ed

by , Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis Cases In Intelligence Analysis 2nd Ed Book available in PDF, EPUB, Mobi Format. Download Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis Cases In Intelligence Analysis 2nd Ed books,







A Tradecraft Primer Structured Analytic Techniques For Improving Intelligence Analysis

A Tradecraft Primer  Structured Analytic Techniques for Improving Intelligence Analysis PDF
Author: Center for the Study of Intelligence
Publisher: Lulu.com
ISBN: 1105810887
Size: 13.80 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Mobi
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description:

A Tradecraft Primer Structured Analytic Techniques For Improving Intelligence Analysis

by Center for the Study of Intelligence, A Tradecraft Primer Structured Analytic Techniques For Improving Intelligence Analysis Book available in PDF, EPUB, Mobi Format. Download A Tradecraft Primer Structured Analytic Techniques For Improving Intelligence Analysis books,







A Tradecraft Primer

A Tradecraft Primer PDF
Author: U.S. Government
Publisher: Books LLC
ISBN: 9781234065867
Size: 77.24 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 46
View: 2842

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Book Description:

A Tradecraft Primer

by U.S. Government, A Tradecraft Primer Book available in PDF, EPUB, Mobi Format. Download A Tradecraft Primer books, Original publisher: Washington, D.C.: U.S. Central Intelligence Agency, Center for the Study of Intelligence, [2009?] LC Number: BF444 OCLC Number: (OCoLC)436207961 Subject: Intelligence service -- United States -- Methodology. Excerpt: ... THE METHOD s 4 ' t' ' most critical or compelling. An analyst or a team might begin a quality of information check by s ( ' t t ' developing a database in which corroboration of critical reporting. information is stored according to source type and date, with additional notations s J ' ' ' ' ' indicating strengths or weaknesses in 4 information in light of new facts or those sources. Ideally, analysts would circumstances that cast it in a have a retrieval and search capability on different light. the database, so that periodic reviews are less labor intensive and result in a s + ' 't ' ' more complete review of all sources identified and properly flagged for other used in past analysis. For the information analysts; analysis based on recalled review to be fully effective, analysts will reporting should also be reviewed to need as much background information determine if the reporting was essential on sources as is feasible. Knowing the to the judgments made. circumstances in which reporting was obtained is often critical to understanding s ( ' ' ' j its validity. With the data in hand, analysts information has been interpreted and can then: caveated properly. s J' ' ' t t' s 4 t ' ' ' t ' t' accuracy. analysts can place in sources, which 4 are likely to figure in future analytic Analysis of Competing Hypotheses ( ACH ), discussed later in the primer, is a useful technique assessments. for exploring the possibility that dec...







Critical Thinking For Strategic Intelligence

Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence PDF
Author: Katherine Hibbs Pherson
Publisher: CQ Press
ISBN: 1506316867
Size: 58.55 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Docs
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 408
View: 2928

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Book Description:

Critical Thinking For Strategic Intelligence

by Katherine Hibbs Pherson, Critical Thinking For Strategic Intelligence Book available in PDF, EPUB, Mobi Format. Download Critical Thinking For Strategic Intelligence books, With this second edition of Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence, Randolph H. Pherson and Katherine Hibbs Pherson update their highly regarded, easy-to-use handbook for developing core critical thinking skills and analytic techniques. This indispensable text is framed around 20 key questions that all analysts must ask themselves as they prepare to conduct research, generate hypotheses, evaluate sources of information, draft papers, and ultimately present analysis. New material includes a chapter on working with statistics and probabilities at an introductory level; discussions on how to work with social media; managing the “big data” phenomenon and what role analysis plays both at the front and back end of utilizing such information. Each of the book’s chapters are consistently organized, enabling students and analysts alike to easily trace the key steps of: Setting the Stage; Looking More Deeply; Key Takeaways; Considering the Case Study, and the book’s illustrations include useful graphics that diagram and display the processes and structured analytic techniques for arriving at the best possible analytical products. The “Analyst’s Roadmap” provides an at-a-glance “map” for readers depicting the best practices involved in perfecting the analytical product. A set of carefully crafted case studies on national intelligence, homeland security, and law enforcement issues illustrate how to apply these critical thinking skills tie directly to end-of-chapter questions, providing valuable self-assessment opportunities.







Das Zettelkasten Prinzip

Das Zettelkasten Prinzip PDF
Author: Sönke Ahrens
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
ISBN: 374312498X
Size: 79.70 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
Category : Political Science
Languages : de
Pages : 160
View: 6336

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Book Description:

Das Zettelkasten Prinzip

by Sönke Ahrens, Das Zettelkasten Prinzip Book available in PDF, EPUB, Mobi Format. Download Das Zettelkasten Prinzip books, Der Schlüssel zu erfolgreichem Schreiben und Studieren liegt in der intelligenten Organisation von Notizen. Dieses Buch zeigt Ihnen, wie Sie auf Papier oder digital ihre Gedanken und Fundstücke so festhalten, dass Sie 1) mit diesen auch später noch etwas anfangen können, 2) diese auch wiederfinden, wenn Sie sie brauchen und 3) diese so miteinander kombinieren können, dass aus ihnen neue Ideen, größere Gedankenbögen und vor allem gute Texte erwachsen. Das Zettelkasten-Prinzip beschreibt die Methode, die es Niklas Luhmann ermöglichte, zu einem der produktivsten und interessantesten Sozialwissenschaftler des 20. Jahrhunderts zu werden und erläutert die lernpsychologischen Hintergründe seiner Funktionsweise.







Superforecasting Die Kunst Der Richtigen Prognose

Superforecasting     Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose PDF
Author: Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher: S. Fischer Verlag
ISBN: 3104029598
Size: 52.48 MB
Format: PDF, ePub
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : de
Pages : 336
View: 3887

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Book Description:

Superforecasting Die Kunst Der Richtigen Prognose

by Philip E. Tetlock, Superforecasting Die Kunst Der Richtigen Prognose Book available in PDF, EPUB, Mobi Format. Download Superforecasting Die Kunst Der Richtigen Prognose books, Der Psychologe und Politikwissenschaftler Philip Tetlock gibt in seinem leichtverständlichen Wissenschafts-Sachbuch ›Superforecasting. Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose‹ eine Anleitung für treffsichere Prognosen in einer unsicheren Zeit. »Superforecaster« sind Menschen, denen erstaunlich gute Vorhersagen in allen Bereichen gelingen – bessere als den Experten. Was macht sie so besonders? In einem großangelegten Forschungsprojekt ist Philip Tetlock dieser Frage nachgegangen und hat das Erfolgsgeheimnis der Superprognostiker gelüftet. Anhand anschaulicher und unterhaltsamer Beispiele zeigt er, wie wir alle bessere Prognosen für unser Leben machen können – denn wenn wir darüber nachdenken, eine neue Stelle zu suchen, zu heiraten, ein Haus zu kaufen, Geld zu investieren, ein Produkt auf den Markt zu bringen oder uns zur Ruhe zu setzen, dann hängen unsere Entscheidungen davon ab, was wir von der Zukunft erwarten. Ein wichtiges und nützliches Buch, um sich in einer immer komplexeren Welt besser zurechtzufinden.







Army Techniques Publication Atp 2 33 4 Intelligence Analysis January 2020

Army Techniques Publication ATP 2 33 4 Intelligence Analysis January 2020 PDF
Author: United States Government Us Army
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781660717743
Size: 41.86 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 166
View: 3112

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Book Description:

Army Techniques Publication Atp 2 33 4 Intelligence Analysis January 2020

by United States Government Us Army, Army Techniques Publication Atp 2 33 4 Intelligence Analysis January 2020 Book available in PDF, EPUB, Mobi Format. Download Army Techniques Publication Atp 2 33 4 Intelligence Analysis January 2020 books, This U.S. Army manual, Army Techniques Publication ATP 2-33.4 Intelligence Analysis January 2020, provides fundamental information to a broad audience, including commanders, staffs, and leaders, on how intelligence personnel conduct analysis to support Army operations. It describes the intelligence analysis process and specific analytic techniques and information on the conduct of intelligence analysis performed by intelligence personnel, especially all-source analysts, across all intelligence disciplines. Additionally, ATP 2-33.4 describes how intelligence analysis facilitates the commander's decision making and understanding of complex environments. The principal audience for ATP 2-33.4 is junior to midgrade intelligence analysts conducting intelligence analysis. This publication provides basic information on intelligence analysis for commanders, staffs, and other senior military members.ATP 2-33.4 discusses doctrinal techniques - descriptive methods for performing missions, functions, or tasks as they apply to intelligence analysis. ATP 2-33.4 describes the intelligence analysis process, discusses structured analytic techniques and the methods for implementing them, and describes unique considerations related to intelligence analysis.